In the previous article, "[Official Resale] Lottery Until 1/13! The "Actual Selling Price" of Soaring Resale Prices and "Hope" for Japan Matches," we covered the market trends from the new year. About one month later, the resale market is showing a clearpolarization.
This time, based on the latest data as of late January (1/31), we analyze Japan match price trends and the ongoing surge in ultra-popular matchups.
* This article is a market analysis and does not recommend resale purchases. The primary strategy should always be entering the official FIFA lottery at face value!
Table of Contents
- Ultra-Popular Matches: Prices Remain Elevated
- Mexico: Still in Another Dimension
- Argentina & Brazil: Powerhouse Nations Are Rock-Solid
- Japan Matches: A Clear Divide
- Netherlands vs Japan: Slight Decline but Still in High Range
- Tunisia vs Japan: Near Face Value - A Buying Window Arrives
- Japan vs European PO B: Wait and See Continues
- Summary: Is Now the Time for Tunisia Match Tickets?
1. Ultra-Popular Matches: Prices Remain Elevated
Mexico matches continue to dominate at the top. Some categories in the Mexico vs Canada match are listed at over $10,000 -- essentially the price of a car. The host nation effect combined with deep football passion creates extraordinary demand.
Mexico: Still in Another Dimension
Mexico matches are in a price range that defies common sense. One ticket can cost as much as a used car.Mexico vs Canada (Opener) C1: $9,000+ (up from $7,200 in early Jan) - a 25% surge in one monthMexico vs Ecuador C1: $4,000-5,000 range (stable at high levels)
Argentina & Brazil: Powerhouse Nations Are Rock-Solid
Argentina matches have strong 'Messi Last Dance' demand, with even the cheapest seats at over 3x face value. Brazil matches show similar trends. Tickets for powerhouse nations remain firmly in a 'seller's market.'
2. Japan Matches: A Clear Divide
How about Japan's national team? The earlier observation that 'Tunisia is a good bet' has become even more clear. Here's a match-by-match breakdown.
Netherlands vs Japan (6/14 Dallas): Slight Decline but Still in High Range
C1 seats, which rose to1,500USDin early January, dropped to1,378.85USD(approx. 207,000 yen) by month-end, an approximately 8% decline.
[Current Prices (as of 1/31)]
C1 (Category 1):$1,378.85~.(2.3x the face value of $600)
C2 (Category 2):$790.05~.(1.6x the face value of $500)
C3 (Category 3):$632.50~.(1.8x the face value of $350)
While prices have cooled from the earlier spike, they remain over 2x face value. As the first match against strong Netherlands, prices could rise again as the tournament approaches. If considering a purchase, we recommend watching the trends carefully before deciding.
Tunisia vs Japan (6/20 Monterrey): Near Face Value - A Buying Window Arrives
This isthe biggest highlightof this report.
[Current Prices (as of 1/31)]
C1 (Category 1):$477.25~.(nearly equal to the face value of $450!)
C2 (Category 2):$380~.(at the same level as the face value of $380)
C1, which was over 800 USD in early December, hasplummeted to near face value. This is a surprising development.
Likely reasons for the decline:An increase in resale listings from 2nd lottery winnersMonterrey is slightly less accessible compared to US cities
Tunisia may be perceived as a less glamorous opponent compared to NetherlandsGood newsTunisia match tickets could still be found near face value even without winning the lottery. The Mexican venue is also a fun city to explore, making it a solid backup plan.
Japan vs. Euro PO B (6/25 Dallas): Still in wait-and-see mode
C1 is around $850. The opponent is not yet confirmed, so the wait-and-see approach continues. Prices are expected to move once the opponent is decided through the playoffs.
3. Summary: The Tunisia Match Is the Best Value Right Now
Compared to one month ago, the market for Japan matches has clearlypolarizationbeen declining.
- Netherlands match: Slightly declining but still expensive. Waiting is an option if you are not in a rush.
- Tunisia match: Nearly at face value.Now may be the best time to buy
- Match 3 (Euro PO B): Best to wait until the opponent is confirmed
Some matches like Mexico have skyrocketed in cost, but Japan games (especially vs. Tunisia) still have affordable options remaining.
The next price report is planned for mid-February. We will keep bringing you the latest market updates! Best of luck with your match-day plans!
Reference: Japan Match Resale Price Trends
| Match | 1/5 Price | 1/31 Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Japan (C1) | $1,500 | $1,378.85 | ▼8% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan (C1) | $552 | $477.25 | ▼14% |
| Japan vs. Euro PO B (C1) | $851 | $850 | No change |
*Prices are the lowest for C1 (Category 1). Exchange rate: 1 USD = approx. 150 JPY
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