[Official Resale] 2/17 Price Report: How Did Prices Move After the 3rd Lottery? Latest Data Before 2/22 Close

Hello.Previous 2/9 Preliminary ReportIt has been about a week since the Random Selection Draw. The results of the Random Selection Draw have been sent out, and those who won or lost are probably thinking about their next move. As a result, I was able to secure tickets for the Japan vs. Netherlands and Japan vs. Tunisia matches, but I continue to monitor the resale market.

Now this time,As of February 17We will organize trends for all 72 games based on the latest resale price data from the

In addition, as an important notice,FIFA Resale/Exchange Marketplace temporarily closes on February 22 at 11:00am ETSh,Re-opening on April 2The plan is to do so. This will be the transition period for the Last Minute Sale phase (first-come, first-served), so if you are considering buying or listing at the resaleNeed to move this week..

📊 Overall Summary: 2/9 to 2/17 is an "adjustment phase"

Previous data on 2/9Prices were skyrocketing due to demand immediately after the third lottery drawing, but have calmed down somewhat through 2/17.

In terms of Cat1 criteria,23 matches up vs. 30 matches downThe average for the entire market increased slightly from $1,225 to $1,262 (approx. The overall average increased slightly from $1,225 to $1,262 (approximately 190,000 yen), but this is partly due to the effect of an increase in the data population, as matches that were not exhibited on 2/9 (15 matches) were restored on 2/17.

The average of Cat3 is$807→$826 (about 124,000 yen)and continues to rise slowly. The trend of buying from the cheap seats continues.

🔥 Top 5 Most Expensive Cards: Opener and Host Country Dominate

No. 1: Mexico vs. South Africa (Match 1, Opening Round)

• Cat1 Lowest Price $6,894 (Approx. 1,030,000 yen)(2.9 times the list price)
• Opening round still decisively high

2nd: USA vs Paraguay (Match 4)

• Cat1 Lowest Price $3,617 (about 540,000 yen)(1.3 times the list price)
• The premium rate is surprisingly modest, as the list price itself is $2,735, the highest of all the games.

Tie for 3rd: Mexico vs. Korea (Match 28) / Europe PO D vs. Mexico (Match 53)

• Cat1 Lowest Price $3,450 (about 520,000 yen)(4.9 times the list price)
• Reflects strong local demand in Mexico

No. 5: Canada vs. Europe PO A (Match 3)

• Cat1 Lowest Price $2,990 (about 450,000 yen)(1.4 times the list price)

📈 Rise Ranking: Morocco Related Surges

In terms of the percentage change from 12/5 to 2/17, the largest increase wasM30 Scotland vs Morocco +130%($575 to $1,322). m50 Morocco vs Haiti is also up +56%, with Morocco related matches increasing in price across the board. it seems that the memory of the breakthrough at the 2022 Qatar tournament is affecting the resale market as well.

M28 Mexico vs Korea is also up at +41%. This is a good card that combines Korean fan demand with local Mexican demand.

📉 Downside ranking: initial "congratulatory market" peels off

The biggest drop wasM66 Uruguay vs Spain -84%($11,500→$1,840), having been listed at $11,500 (approx. 1,730,000 yen) in early December, has settled down to a realistic level.

M62 Senegal vs FIFA PO 2 (-64%) and M46 Panama vs Croatia (-55%) also dropped significantly. A pattern can be seen where many sellers list their items at "asking prices" immediately after the resale starts, and then the prices drop due to lack of buyers.

💎 Only one match below list price

Of the 72 games, Cat 1 is below the list price.M65 Only one match, Cape Verde vs. Saudi Arabia($309 vs. fixed price $450, -31%). The number of games under the fixed price, which was 8 in the previous round, has been reduced to 1,Overall, the market is bottoming out.even among Japan's matches.

Conversely, the other 71 matches are all above list price. While we would like to think that "if you wait, it will go down," the resale prices for most of the games areStable at 1.5 to 3 times the list priceThe company has been doing this for a number of years.

🇯🇵 Japan game: slowly rising, watch out for the Netherlands game

M11 Netherlands vs Japan (most expensive)

• Cat1: $1,436 (approx. 215,000 yen) / Cat2: $1,100 (approx. 165,000 yen) / Cat3. $978 (about 147,000 yen)
• Cat3 fixed price ratio 4.4 times($220 -> $978)
• Slight reversal after spiking to $1,150 on 2/9. High risk of another rise as the convention approaches.

M36 Tunisia vs Japan (most affordable)

• Cat1: $610 (approx. 92,000 yen) / Cat2: $546 (approx. 82,000 yen) / Cat3. $352 (about 53,000 yen)
• Cat3 fixed price comparison: 2.5 times
• Only one of the three games had a Cat 1.downtrend($805 on 12/5 to $610 on 2/17, -24%). Most realistic to consider purchasing.

M57 Japan vs. Europe PO B (opponent to be determined)

• Cat1: $863 (approx. 129,000 yen) / Cat2: $690 (approx. 104,000 yen) / Cat3: $690 (approx. 104,000 yen) $641 (about 96,000 yen)
• Cat3 fixed price comparison: 3.6 times
• Opponent awaits playoffs, but Cat3 is 12/5 ratio+58%and the most growth. Possibility of further movement when opponent is confirmed.

Overall,The maximum price increase for Cat 3 (the lowest category) for any Japanese game.The The cheaper the seat, the larger the premium, indicating that many fans consider "just the cheapest seat".

🔮 Upcoming schedule and purchasing strategy

Organize important dates.

• February 22: Resale Marketplace temporarily closed(11:00am ET)
• April 2: Reopening of Resale Marketplace(11:00am ET)
• From early April: Last Minute Sale phase begins(First-come, first-served basis, fixed price)

During the close period, all sales and purchases at the resale will not be possible. Please note that receipt of ticket transfers must also be completed by the close or they will be cancelled.

For those considering purchasing, there are three options.

1) Buy at resale this week.

How to secure your tickets before the close on 2/22. You will have to buy at the current market price, but you can be sure to get your ticket.

(2) Target last minute sales in April.

This is an opportunity to purchase at a fixed price, but competition is fierce as it is first-come, first-served, and popular cards are expected to be sold out in an instant.

(iii) Wait for resale to resume after April.

As the convention approaches, the number of exhibitors who "can no longer go" increases, and a pattern of temporary price declines has been seen at past conventions. However, there is also a risk of a sharp rise in prices.

Personal,Hold the matches you really want to go to this week and wait for the last minute for the ones you can afford.We believe that is a well-balanced strategy. We will bring you the latest data in our next issue after the resale resumes in April.

Data source: official FIFA resale marketplace (lowest price as of February 17, 2026)
Exchange rate reference: 1 USD ≈ 150 yen

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📊 Extra: Download pricing data

You can download the price data for all 72 matches used in this article as an Excel file. Feel free to use it for your own analysis.

📥 Download price data (Excel format)

The file contains Cat1 to Cat3 price histories for all 72 games from 12/5 to 2/17.